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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Royal Excel Mouscron
T T S S S
2–5
Full-time
Charleroi
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

4 Corners 3
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 4. · Charleroi 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Royal Excel Mouscron 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Genk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Beveren 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Mechelen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Antwerp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Anderlecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Oostende 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Kortrijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Lokeren 1 0 0 1 -4 0
16 Eupen 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Dec -16 Charleroi – Royal Excel Mouscron 2–0 6. Aug -16 Royal Excel Mouscron – Charleroi 0–1 22. Dec -15 Royal Excel Mouscron – Charleroi 0–1 26. Jul -15 Charleroi – Royal Excel Mouscron 2–1

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi
3′
⚽ B. Godeau 1–0
own goal
30′
⚽ D. Lukebakio 1–1
G. Hendrickx
Mergim Vojvoda 🟨
42′
43′
⚽ D. Pollet 1–2
45′
🟨 Dodi Lukebakio
Half-time 2–2
2–2 J. Bolingi ⚽
49′
53′
⚽ D. Lukebakio 2–3
D. Pollet
55′
🔁 E. Sağlık
↦ C. Bedia
S. Locigno 🔁
↦ J. Huyghebaert
56′
60′
⚽ D. Dessoleil 2–4
D. Lukebakio
T. Mézague 🔁
↦ M. Aidara
61′
3–4 O. Govea ⚽
M. Vojvoda
63′
67′
🔁 M. Fall
↦ D. Lukebakio
Dimitri Mohamed 🟨
75′
B. Dione 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
78′
80′
🔁 Clinton Mata
↦ A. Baby
Jean Butez 🟥
82′
Sebastien Locigno 🟨
89′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

33 J. Butez G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
31 B. Godeau D
27 M. Vojvoda D
26 A. Nkaka D
11 D. Mohamed F
8 M. Aidara
6 O. Govea M
21 S. Amallah M
7 F. Olinga F
10 J. Bolingi F
Bench (7)
22 S. Locigno
4 T. Mézague
17 B. Dione
14 S. Spahiu
16 C. Libertiaux
30 B. Van Durmen
98 T. Demol

Coach: M. Rednic

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
25 Nurio Fortuna
18 A. Baby M
13 C. Diandy M
22 G. Hendrickx M
46 D. Lukebakio M
10 D. Pollet F
99 C. Bedia F
Bench (7)
28 E. Sağlık
77 M. Fall
19 Clinton Mata
6 G. Zajkov
9 K. Rezaei
14 C. Benavente
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.