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Pro League
Mechelen
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Genk
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 18/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
33%
58%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
78%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
78%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mechelen 11. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 15 11 1 3 +25 34
2 Oostende 16 9 4 3 +15 31
3 Gent 14 9 3 2 +16 30
4 Anderlecht 13 8 4 1 +11 28
5 St Truiden 18 7 2 9 -5 23
6 Genk 12 7 1 4 +4 22
7 Charleroi 14 6 4 4 +4 22
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 6 4 12 -9 22
9 Standard 16 7 1 8 -9 22
10 Waregem 13 6 3 4 +5 21
11 Mechelen 18 6 3 9 -7 21
12 Westerlo 22 4 7 11 -20 19
13 Lokeren 17 5 3 9 -5 18
14 Beveren 16 5 2 9 -10 17
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 4 4 8 -6 16
16 Kortrijk 16 3 6 7 -9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Sep -15 Genk – Mechelen 3–1

Match report

Mechelen Genk
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. De Petter
L. Paulussen
47′
63′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ N. Karelis
63′
🔁 Y. Buyens
↦ R. Malinovskiy
Chen Xavier 🔁
↦ L. Paulussen
66′
M. Rits 🔁
↦ E. Cocalić
74′
74′
🔁 L. Bailey
↦ Pozuelo
D. Veselinović 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
81′
87′
C. Kabasele 1–1
L. Bailey
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
2 L. Paulussen
15 E. Cocalić
30 J. Vanlerberghe
16 A. Bjelica
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
20 J. Van Damme
77 G. Claes
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
14 Chen Xavier
11 M. Rits
9 D. Veselinović
8 R. Leal
17 J. Naessens
18 A. Corryn
49 A. Moris

Genk

1 M. Bizot
4 B. Hamalainen
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
5 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
18 R. Malinovskiy
19 T. Buffel
7 N. Karelis
Bench (7)
11 I. de Camargo
71 Y. Buyens
31 L. Bailey
8 B. Kumordzi
10 J. Gorius
15 D. Wouters
26 L. Köteles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.