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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Genoa
S T S T U
2–4
Full-time
Juventus
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 13. · Juventus 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Inter 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Milan 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Bologna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Torino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Lazio 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sassuolo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Genoa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Verona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Juventus
0–1 M. Pjanić
own goal
1′
7′
🟨 Stephan Lichtsteiner
1–1 A. Galabinov
7′
Santiago Gentiletti 🟨
13′
14′
P. Dybala 1–2
M. Pjanić
Davide Biraschi 🟨
17′
18′
🟨 Miralem Pjanić
Darko Lazović 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–3
48′
P. Dybala 1–3
R. Palladino 🔁
↦ A. Taarabt
51′
58′
🔁 B. Matuidi
↦ S. Khedira
62′
J. Cuadrado 1–4
M. Mandžukić
64′
🟨 Juan Cuadrado
R. Centurión 🔁
↦ A. Galabinov
72′
74′
🔁 A. Barzagli
↦ S. Lichtsteiner
Diego Laxalt 🟨
78′
G. Lapadula 🔁
↦ G. Pandev
78′
81′
🔁 R. Bentancur
↦ M. Pjanić
92′
P. Dybala 1–5
G. Higuaín
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-3
1 M. Perin G
3 S. Gentiletti D
13 L. Rossettini D
14 D. Biraschi D
11 A. Taarabt F
44 Miguel Veloso M
22 D. Lazović M
8 A. Bertolacci M
93 D. Laxalt M
19 G. Pandev F
16 A. Galabinov F
Bench (12)
17 R. Palladino
9 R. Centurión
10 G. Lapadula
18 F. Migliore
2 N. Spolli
4 I. Cofie
20 A. Rosi
23 E. Lamanna
30 L. Rigoni
40 S. Omeonga
74 E. Salcedo Mora
87 E. Zukanović

Coach: I. Juric

Juventus

4-2-3-1
1 G. Buffon
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
24 D. Rugani D
6 S. Khedira M
5 M. Pjanić M
7 J. Cuadrado M
9 G. Higuaín F
17 M. Mandžukić F
10 P. Dybala F
Bench (11)
14 B. Matuidi
15 A. Barzagli
30 R. Bentancur
2 M. De Sciglio
4 M. Benatia
11 Douglas Costa
16 C. Pinsoglio
23 W. Szczęsny
27 S. Sturaro
33 F. Bernardeschi
34 M. Kean

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca Banti · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.