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Premier League

Referee: Andre Marriner

Crystal Palace

T S T T T

0–2

Full-time

Swansea

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Swansea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 1

0 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crystal Palace 18. · Swansea 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Man United	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Huddersfield	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Watford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Stoke	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Bournemouth	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Man City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.