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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Las Palmas
T T T T T
1–5
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,2
2,0
Conceded
2,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,7
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 16. · Ath Madrid 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Girona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Betis 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sevilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 La Coruna 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Celta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Malaga 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Villarreal 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Ath Madrid
3′
Á. Correa 0–1
5′
Y. Carrasco 0–2
Saúl
Hernán 🟨
14′
Pedro Bigas 🟨
24′
Fabio Gonzalez 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Luciano Vietto
Half-time 0–2
55′
🔁 Gabi
↦ L. Vietto
1–2 J. Calleri
Momo
58′
Jonathan Viera 🟨
62′
62′
Koke 1–3
S. Araújo 🔁
↦ Fabio González
65′
65′
🔁 Fernando Torres
↦ Á. Correa
70′
🔁 S. Savić
↦ Š. Vrsaljko
75′
Koke 1–4
Y. Carrasco
Javi Castellano 🔁
↦ Momo
76′
Benito Ramírez 🔁
↦ Hernán
76′
88′
T. Partey 1–5
Y. Carrasco
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
13 L. Chichizola G
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Bigas D
2 David Simón D
3 M. Lemos D
11 Momo M
21 Jonathan Viera M
14 Hernán M
27 Fabio González M
24 Tana M
9 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
10 S. Araújo
18 Javi Castellano
28 Benito Ramírez
12 Míchel
1 Raúl Lizoáin
22 Ximo Navarro
15 Borja Herrera

Coach: Manolo Márquez

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
2 D. Godín D
16 Š. Vrsaljko D
24 J. Giménez D
19 L. Hernández D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
10 Y. Carrasco M
5 T. Partey M
17 L. Vietto F
11 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
14 Gabi
9 Fernando Torres
15 S. Savić
3 Filipe Luis
21 K. Gameiro
1 Moyà
20 Juanfran

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.