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Ligue 1

Referee: Frank Schneider

Toulouse

U U T S T

3–2

Full-time

Rennes

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

3,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 22

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Toulouse 16. · Rennes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	St Etienne	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Nice	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Caen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Lille	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Toulouse	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Metz	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Amiens	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Lille	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Caen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Dijon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Lille	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.