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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno Alexandre Da Silva Esteves

Moreirense

U S U U T

0–3

Full-time

Tondela

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 13. · Tondela 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Rio Ave	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Estoril	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Feirense	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-5	4
10	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	3	1	-1	3
11	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-7	3
13	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Chaves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Aves	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Boavista	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Estoril	2	1	0	1	-3	3
7	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.