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Serie A

Referee: Massimiliano Irrati

Roma

S S S S S

1–3

Full-time

Inter

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,2

Scored

2,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 8

9 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

12 Corners 6

2 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 8. · Inter 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.