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Pro League
Referee: Sebastien Delferiere
Genk
S U S U T
2–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 28/18 matches
Win Ø 58%
43%
72%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
46%
67%
Both score Ø 48%
39%
56%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1 Shots 0
1 Shots on target 0
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Genk 3. · Club Brugge 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 28 13 6 9 +7 45
2 Waregem 18 13 3 2 +19 42
3 Genk 28 12 6 10 +0 42
4 Club Brugge 18 13 2 3 +27 41
5 Standard 28 10 11 7 +10 41
6 Anderlecht 18 12 4 2 +28 40
7 Oostende 18 12 2 4 +20 38
8 Charleroi 18 9 6 3 +6 33
9 Gent 18 9 4 5 +9 31
10 Beveren 28 7 9 12 -11 30
11 Kortrijk 28 8 6 14 -15 30
12 Eupen 28 8 6 14 -21 30
13 Lokeren 28 7 8 13 -10 29
14 St Truiden 28 7 5 16 -14 26
15 Westerlo 28 5 7 16 -28 22
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 5 3 20 -27 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -16 Club Brugge – Genk 1–1 1. May -16 Club Brugge – Genk 3–1 20. Apr -16 Genk – Club Brugge 4–2

Match report

Genk Club Brugge
1–0 M. Samatta ⚽
R. Malinovskiy
5′
21′
🟨 Laurens De Bock
2–0 O. Colley ⚽
Pozuelo
42′
43′
⚽ J. Izquierdo 2–1
Half-time 2–1
61′
🔁 Wesley
↦ L. Refaelov
61′
🔁 Abdoulay Diaby
↦ J. Vossen
64′
🟨 R. Van Rhijn
R. Malinovskiy 🟨
74′
B. Heynen 🔁
↦ J. Boëtius
81′
83′
🔁 D. Rotariu
↦ T. Simons
José Naranjo 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
85′
90′
🟨 Ricardo Van Rhijn
90′
🟥 Ricardo Van Rhijn
T. Buffel 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Ryan G
2 J. Brabec D
21 J. Uronen D
15 O. Colley D
41 T. Castagne D
24 Pozuelo M
9 J. Boëtius M
18 R. Malinovskiy M
25 S. Berge M
77 M. Samatta F
22 S. Schrijvers F
Bench (7)
28 B. Heynen
11 José Naranjo
19 T. Buffel
5 S. Walsh
6 S. Dewaest
8 B. Kumordzi
30 N. Jackers

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Club Brugge

4-3-3
1 L. Butelle G
28 L. De Bock D
2 R. van Rhijn D
24 S. Denswil D
4 B. Engels D
25 R. Vormer M
3 T. Simons M
20 H. Vanaken M
9 J. Vossen F
8 L. Refaelov M
11 J. Izquierdo F
Bench (7)
7 Wesley
10 Abdoulay Diaby
29 D. Rotariu
13 H. Palacios
21 D. Cools
22 E. Horvath
80 N. Verburgh

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sebastien Delferiere · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.