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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Mechelen
U S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Gent
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
0 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 10. · Gent 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Waregem 3 2 0 1 +6 6
3 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Anderlecht 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Antwerp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Kortrijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 1 0 1 -2 3
9 Beveren 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Mechelen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Genk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Gent 2 0 0 2 -2 0
14 Oostende 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Lokeren 2 0 0 2 -5 0
16 Eupen 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Gent
33′
S. Kalu 0–1
K. Coulibaly
36′
🟨 Damien Marcq
Half-time 0–1
T. Matthys 🔁
↦ G. Claes
46′
A. Kawaya 🔁
↦ A. El Messaoudi
62′
65′
🔁 B. Verstraete
↦ B. Dejaegere
Elias Cobbaut 🟨
69′
N. Pedersen 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
77′
79′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ Y. Kubo
Edin Cocalić 🟨
84′
1–1 T. Matthys
R. Schoofs
86′
92′
🔁 L. Verstraete
↦ F. Andrijašević
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
4 S. De Witte D
15 E. Cocalić D
63 F. Rherras D
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
11 M. Rits M
77 G. Claes M
18 R. Schoofs
10 Y. Croizet M
99 S. Dražić F
Bench (9)
7 T. Matthys
47 A. Kawaya
9 N. Pedersen
55 Ž. Filipović
30 H. Smolders
21 S. Ninis
28 A. Swolfs
27 B. Bandé
6 M. De Bie

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Gent

3-5-2
91 L. Kalinić G
13 S. Mitrović D
2 S. Gigot D
11 D. Machado D
22 D. Bronn D
25 D. Marcq M
23 F. Andrijašević M
19 B. Dejaegere F
31 Y. Kubo F
7 K. Coulibaly F
18 S. Kalu F
Bench (11)
6 B. Verstraete
9 M. Sylla
33 L. Verstraete
29 T. De Smet
20 Y. Thoelen
44 A. Esiti
35 Y. Czekanowicz
27 M. Simon
24 N. Raskin
77 D. Miličević
38 S. Horemans

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.