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Pro League
Mechelen
S S S T T
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
71%
61%
Both score Ø 59%
68%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mechelen 7. · St Truiden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 19 1 5 +42 58
2 Gent 25 15 7 3 +25 52
3 Anderlecht 25 14 7 4 +15 49
4 Oostende 26 13 6 7 +10 45
5 Genk 23 13 3 7 +15 42
6 Standard 28 12 3 13 -11 39
7 Mechelen 28 10 6 12 -7 36
8 Charleroi 24 9 6 9 +3 33
9 Waregem 26 9 6 11 -1 33
10 Kortrijk 26 8 9 9 -1 33
11 Lokeren 28 8 7 13 -7 31
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 7 9 12 -10 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 28 8 4 16 -15 28
16 Beveren 28 7 5 16 -23 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Apr -16 St Truiden – Mechelen 0–1

Match report

Mechelen St Truiden
35′
P. Gerkens 0–1
M. Bagayoko
Half-time 0–1
R. Leal 🔁
↦ A. Bjelica
46′
D. Veselinović 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
46′
62′
🔁 Y. Ono
↦ I. Swers
1–1 S. De Petter
68′
76′
🔁 A. De Sart
↦ V. Angban
L. Crepulja 🔁
↦ M. Rits
79′
87′
🔁 D. Dussaut
↦ M. Bagayoko
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
15 E. Cocalić
23 U. Vitas
30 J. Vanlerberghe
16 A. Bjelica
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
11 M. Rits
77 G. Claes
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
8 R. Leal
9 D. Veselinović
6 L. Crepulja
17 N. Ben Khalifa
33 A. El Messaoudi
49 A. Moris
3 E. Cobbaut

St Truiden

13 E. Velić
26 Ruben Fernandes
18 M. Bagayoko
24 S. Nirisarike
4 M. Mahlangu
15 C. Cuevas
29 V. Angban
14 P. Gerkens
27 I. Swers
33 N. Proschwitz
9 B. Raman
Bench (7)
25 Y. Ono
5 A. De Sart
20 D. Dussaut
28 Y. Vanwelkenhuysen
6 G. Hendrickx
22 Allan
19 Y. Erichot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.