Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sheffield United
Leicester
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chelsea
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 |
Man United
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |
Man City
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 |
Leicester
|
10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 7 |
West Ham
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |
Southampton
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Everton
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 17 |
| 10 |
Wolves
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 17 |
| 11 |
Crystal Palace
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 13 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |
Leeds
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 |
Brighton
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 |
Fulham
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |
Burnley
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 6 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 6 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Egan
D
S. Berge
M
O. McBurnie
F
Coach: C. Wilder
J. Justin
M
W. Fofana
D
N. Mendy
M
Y. Tielemans
M
J. Maddison
F
J. Vardy
F
Ayoze Pérez
F
Coach: B. Rodgers
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
West Brom
Sheffield United
Sheffield United
West Ham
Chelsea
Sheffield United
Sheffield United
Man City
Liverpool
Sheffield United
S Attwell · 153 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.