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Premier League

Referee: C Pawson

Arsenal

S S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Leicester

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

60%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,6

2,4

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 10. · Leicester 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	6	4	1	1	+5	13
2	Liverpool	6	4	1	1	+1	13
3	Aston Villa	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Leeds	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Southampton	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	Wolves	6	3	1	2	-2	10
8	Chelsea	6	2	3	1	+4	9
9	Leicester	5	3	0	2	+4	9
10	Arsenal	5	3	0	2	+2	9
11	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+7	8
12	West Ham	6	2	2	2	+4	8
13	Man City	5	2	2	1	+0	8
14	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	-2	8
15	Man United	5	2	1	2	-3	7
16	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	West Brom	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Sheffield United	6	0	1	5	-6	1
20	Fulham	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Everton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Aston Villa	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Southampton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Leeds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Wolves	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Man City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Tottenham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	West Brom	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Sheffield United	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Man United	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Fulham	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Man United	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Everton	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Wolves	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Chelsea	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Man City	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Brighton	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Liverpool	3	1	1	1	-3	4
16	Arsenal	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Fulham	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	West Brom	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.