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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Maritimo

T T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Chaves

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Chaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 11. · Chaves 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Feirense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Chaves	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Guimaraes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.