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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Boavista

S S T U T

1–2

Full-time

Chaves

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Chaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

19 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 2

15 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 12. · Chaves 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Porto	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Maritimo	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Feirense	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Vitoria Setubal	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Moreirense	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Chaves	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Nacional	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Tondela	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Portimonense	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Aves	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	2	0	1	+7	6
2	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Feirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.