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Eliteserien
Referee: S Kringstad
Ham-Kam
S T T S S
4–4
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 56%
37%
74%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
68%
74%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
3,4
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
2,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,59 xG 3,25
21% Possession 79%
12 Shots 30
3 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 10
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ham-Kam 11. · Bodo/Glimt 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 20 14 3 3 +18 +5.0 45
2 Bodo/Glimt 19 14 2 3 +26 +8.8 44
3 Tromso 20 13 3 4 +10 +2.9 42
4 Molde 20 11 4 5 +21 +10.7 37
5 Brann 20 11 3 6 +12 -0.4 36
6 Lillestrom 20 10 3 7 +6 +3.9 33
7 Sarpsborg 08 21 9 3 9 +3 +2.4 30
8 Odd 21 8 5 8 +0 +0.9 29
9 Rosenborg 21 8 4 9 -3 +1.1 28
10 Stromsgodset 20 8 2 10 -1 -3.5 26
11 Ham-Kam 19 7 1 11 -14 -6.3 22
12 Haugesund 21 5 5 11 -12 -7.0 20
13 Valerenga 20 4 6 10 -8 -4.1 18
14 Sandefjord 20 4 6 10 -10 -10.4 18
15 Stabaek 19 4 4 11 -14 -0.9 16
16 Aalesund 21 3 2 16 -34 -3.0 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Bodo/Glimt
0–1 N. Haikin
own goal
1′
1–1 J. Gammelby
25′
Half-time 1–1
T. Sørås 🔁
↦ M. Mawa
46′
49′
A. Pellegrino 1–2
U. Saltnes
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason 🟨
61′
61′
A. Pellegrino 1–3
M. Bjørlo 🔁
↦ W. Kurtović
62′
66′
P. Berg 1–4
S. Fet
68′
P. Berg 1–5
U. Saltnes
2–5 K. Onsrud
71′
3–5 B. Bjarnason
M. Bjørlo
74′
78′
🔁 T. Gulliksen
↦ D. Bassi
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ O. Kjærgaard
84′
J. Enkerud 🔁
↦ K. Onsrud
84′
84′
🔁 F. Sjøvold
↦ B. Wembangomo
85′
🟨 Sondre Fet
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

3-4-2-1
12 M. Sandberg G
26 B. Bjarnason D
23 F. Sjølstad D
6 J. Norheim D
3 J. Gammelby M
19 W. Kurtović M
7 K. Onsrud M
2 V. Kongsro M
10 M. Mawa F
8 O. Kjærgaard F
16 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (9)
11 T. Sørås
17 M. Bjørlo
14 H. Udahl
9 J. Enkerud
22 K. Hernández-Foster
4 H. Opsahl
1 L. Jendal
33 A. Melgalvis
27 A. Nouri

Coach: J. Michelsen

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
5 B. Wembangomo D
18 B. Moe D
2 M. Lode D
15 F. Bjørkan D
19 S. Fet M
77 P. Berg M
14 U. Saltnes M
10 D. Bassi F
29 F. Moumbagna F
7 A. Pellegrino F
Bench (9)
25 T. Gulliksen
20 F. Sjøvold
16 M. Konradsen
28 O. Kapskarmo
44 M. Brøndbo
11 R. Espejord
22 P. Dahl
47 S. Kristiansen
30 A. Sørensen

Coach: K. Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Kringstad · 61 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.