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Eliteserien
Referee: S Kringstad
Ham-Kam
S T S T S
3–2
Full-time
Stabaek
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,18 xG 4,13
29% Possession 71%
9 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ham-Kam 13. · Stabaek 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 15 12 2 1 +24 +1.9 38
2 Molde 16 9 2 5 +19 +6.7 29
3 Viking 14 9 2 3 +10 -0.1 29
4 Brann 15 8 3 4 +9 -3.3 27
5 Tromso 14 8 3 3 +5 +0.6 27
6 Lillestrom 14 8 2 4 +8 +4.5 26
7 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 3 6 +1 -0.3 21
8 Stromsgodset 14 6 2 6 +2 -0.8 20
9 Odd 15 5 4 6 -2 +0.5 19
10 Rosenborg 15 4 4 7 -5 -0.8 16
11 Stabaek 14 4 4 6 -6 +1.0 16
12 Haugesund 14 4 3 7 -8 -1.7 15
13 Ham-Kam 14 4 1 9 -16 +0.7 13
14 Valerenga 13 3 2 8 -8 -3.9 11
15 Sandefjord 13 2 4 7 -10 -3.6 10
16 Aalesund 15 2 1 12 -23 -1.4 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Stabaek
1–0 P. Kirkevold
K. Onsrud
32′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Onsrud
J. Norheim
49′
51′
M. Bakenga 2–1
F. Krogstad
B. Thoresen 🔁
↦ H. Udahl
59′
65′
🔁 F. Haugen
↦ Jonatan Lucca
J. Enkerud 🔁
↦ T. Sørås
70′
70′
🔁 H. Geelmuyden
↦ C. Edwards
77′
L. Jendal 3–1
own goal
Kristian Onsrud 🟨
83′
4–1 J. Gammelby
P. Kirkevold
94′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

3-5-2
1 L. Jendal G
4 H. Opsahl D
23 F. Sjølstad D
6 J. Norheim D
3 J. Gammelby M
11 T. Sørås M
19 W. Kurtović M
7 K. Onsrud M
2 V. Kongsro M
14 H. Udahl F
16 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (9)
21 B. Thoresen
9 J. Enkerud
22 K. Hernández-Foster
26 B. Bjarnason
33 A. Melgalvis
27 A. Nouri
17 R. Wiedesheim-Paul
12 M. Sandberg
8 O. Kjærgaard

Coach: J. Michelsen

Stabaek

3-5-2
21 I. Pettersson G
2 K. Pedersen D
3 N. Næss D
6 A. Skovgaard D
11 N. Walstad M
47 Jonatan Lucca M
8 C. Edwards M
14 F. Krogstad M
15 S. Ottesen M
9 M. Bakenga F
69 K. Høgh F
Bench (9)
7 F. Haugen
10 H. Geelmuyden
4 S. Wangberg
20 A. Andresen
1 M. Ulla
5 N. Jenssen
24 K. Kostadinov
31 O. Veum
33 T. Pachonik

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Kringstad · 61 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.