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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Leeds
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
QPR
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Championship · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 47%
53%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%
20 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 2. · QPR 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 20 12 4 4 +13 40
2 Leeds 19 10 6 3 +13 36
3 West Brom 20 10 5 5 +14 35
4 Middlesbrough 20 9 8 3 +9 35
5 Nott'm Forest 20 8 10 2 +11 34
6 Derby 19 10 4 5 +9 34
7 Sheffield United 20 10 4 6 +8 34
8 Aston Villa 20 8 7 5 +9 31
9 Birmingham 20 7 9 4 +6 30
10 Blackburn 20 7 8 5 -4 29
11 QPR 20 8 4 8 -5 28
12 Stoke 20 6 9 5 +0 27
13 Swansea 20 7 5 8 +1 26
14 Bristol City 20 7 5 8 +0 26
15 Wigan 20 7 4 9 -5 25
16 Sheffield Weds 20 6 5 9 -11 23
17 Brentford 20 5 7 8 +2 22
18 Preston 20 5 7 8 -4 22
19 Hull 20 5 5 10 -9 20
20 Rotherham 20 4 8 8 -11 20
21 Reading 20 4 6 10 -6 18
22 Millwall 20 4 6 10 -9 18
23 Bolton 20 4 6 10 -13 18
24 Ipswich 20 1 8 11 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds QPR
26′
N. Wells 0–1
Àngel Rangel
Mateusz Klich 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Josh Scowen
46′
🔁 J. Scowen
↦ G. Cameron
1–1 K. Roofe
Pablo Hernández
48′
52′
🟨 Toni Leistner
2–1 K. Roofe
53′
Kalvin Phillips 🟨
63′
73′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ P. Wszołek
76′
🟨 Àngel Rangel
78′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ E. Eze
A. Halme 🔁
↦ Samuel Sáiz
81′
85′
🟨 Joel Lynch
J. Clarke 🔁
↦ Pablo Hernández
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Leeds

4-1-4-1
1 B. Peacock-Farrell G
3 B. Douglas M
18 P. Jansson D
19 Pablo Hernández M
43 M. Klich M
4 A. Forshaw M
14 Samuel Sáiz M
7 K. Roofe F
23 K. Phillips M
46 J. Shackleton M
10 E. Alioski M
Bench (7)
52 A. Halme
47 J. Clarke
9 P. Bamford
13 W. Huffer
22 J. Harrison
34 L. Baker
40 L. Davis

Coach: M. Bielsa

QPR

4-2-3-1
13 J. Lumley G
5 G. Cameron M
22 Àngel Rangel D
33 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
37 T. Leistner D
23 P. Wszołek M
21 M. Luongo M
10 E. Eze F
7 L. Freeman M
32 N. Wells F
Bench (7)
11 J. Scowen
20 B. Osayi-Samuel
17 M. Smith
1 M. Ingram
2 D. Furlong
8 J. Cousins
16 T. Hemed

Coach: S. McClaren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.