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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

Willem II

T U S U U

2–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

0,8

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 36%

19%

53%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

31%

73%

Both score Ø 53%

38%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,6

1,9

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 13. · Heerenveen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	16	12	3	1	+33	39
2	Ajax	16	11	3	2	+22	36
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	9	6	1	+17	33
4	Heerenveen	15	8	4	3	+13	28
5	Twente	16	6	6	4	+4	24
6	Utrecht	14	6	5	3	+5	23
7	Vitesse	16	6	5	5	+4	23
8	AZ Alkmaar	14	5	7	2	+6	22
9	Heracles	16	4	6	6	-7	18
10	Nijmegen	16	4	6	6	-10	18
11	Sparta Rotterdam	16	4	5	7	-6	17
12	Groningen	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Willem II	16	3	7	6	-8	16
14	Excelsior	16	4	3	9	-9	15
15	Den Haag	16	4	2	10	-14	14
16	Zwolle	16	3	5	8	-18	14
17	Roda	16	1	9	6	-13	12
18	Go Ahead Eagles	16	3	2	11	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	+20	20
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Twente	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	3	1	+4	15
5	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	4	1	+4	13
8	Nijmegen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
9	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	3	2	+2	12
10	Heracles	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Vitesse	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Go Ahead Eagles	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Zwolle	9	2	3	4	-10	9
15	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-6	8
16	Den Haag	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	Willem II	8	1	4	3	-5	7
18	Roda	7	0	4	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	5	3	0	+13	18
3	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	+8	14
5	Vitesse	8	3	3	2	+3	12
6	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Twente	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Willem II	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Groningen	8	2	2	4	+2	8
11	Roda	9	1	5	3	-8	8
12	Heracles	9	1	4	4	-9	7
13	Den Haag	9	2	1	6	-10	7
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-8	5
15	Excelsior	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Nijmegen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	8	0	1	7	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.