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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Guingamp
T T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Amiens
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 16%
6%
25%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 20. · Amiens 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 16 14 2 0 +39 44
2 Lille 16 9 3 4 +10 30
3 Montpellier 16 8 5 3 +12 29
4 Lyon 16 8 4 4 +6 28
5 Marseille 16 8 2 6 +4 26
6 St Etienne 16 7 5 4 +3 26
7 Nice 16 7 4 5 -2 25
8 Nimes 16 6 5 5 +3 23
9 Strasbourg 16 5 7 4 +6 22
10 Bordeaux 16 5 6 5 +0 21
11 Reims 16 5 6 5 -4 21
12 Nantes 16 5 5 6 +0 20
13 Rennes 16 5 5 6 -4 20
14 Angers 16 4 6 6 -2 18
15 Toulouse 16 4 6 6 -10 18
16 Dijon 16 4 4 8 -10 16
17 Caen 16 2 7 7 -7 13
18 Monaco 16 3 4 9 -8 13
19 Amiens 16 4 1 11 -15 13
20 Guingamp 16 1 5 10 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Amiens
Étienne Didot 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Lefort
↦ A. Blin
56′
🟨 Prince Gouano
62′
🔁 M. Bodmer
↦ S. Ghoddos
63′
E. Gnahoré 0–1
F. Otero
N. Julan 🔁
↦ R. Rodelin
65′
1–1 É. Didot
M. Thuram
70′
74′
🔁 O. El Hajjam
↦ E. Krafth
81′
S. Mendoza 1–2
84′
🟨 Stiven Mendoza
M. Phaeton 🔁
↦ Y. NGbakoto
85′
Marcus Thuram 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Regis Gurtner
90′
🟨 Oualid El Hajjam
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
2 J. Ikoko D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
22 É. Didot M
12 Y. N'Gbakoto M
24 M. Coco M
7 L. Blas M
23 R. Rodelin F
11 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
14 N. Julan
33 M. Phaeton
6 L. Phiri
16 M. Caillard
18 G. Fofana
20 F. Eboa Eboa
27 F. Tabanou

Coach: Vincent Rautureau

Amiens

4-3-3
1 R. Gurtner G
3 K. Adénon D
2 P. Gouano D
4 E. Krafth D
12 B. Dibassy D
6 T. Monconduit M
5 E. Gnahoré M
17 A. Blin M
10 S. Mendoza M
7 S. Ghoddos F
11 F. Otero F
Bench (7)
25 J. Lefort
24 M. Bodmer
19 O. El Hajjam
14 G. Traoré
16 M. Dreyer
20 C. Timite
22 S. Koita

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.