Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Den Haag
De Graafschap
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | +46 | 42 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +42 | 40 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 32 |
| 4 |
Heracles
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 23 |
| 5 |
Utrecht
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 22 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 20 |
| 8 |
VVV Venlo
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 |
Vitesse
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |
For Sittard
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 |
Willem II
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 16 |
| 12 |
Excelsior
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -18 | 16 |
| 13 |
Den Haag
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 15 |
| 14 |
Zwolle
|
15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 14 |
| 15 |
FC Emmen
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 |
Groningen
|
13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 |
De Graafschap
|
14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -21 | 10 |
| 18 |
NAC Breda
|
14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -20 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Becker
F
Coach: A. Groenendijk
D. van Mieghem
F
Coach: H. de Jong
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ajax
Den Haag
Zwolle
Den Haag
Den Haag
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
Den Haag
Den Haag
NAC Breda
Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.