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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Martens

Zwolle

U S T U T

2–3

Full-time

Willem II

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

27%

18%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

45%

55%

Both score Ø 46%

36%

55%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

68% Possession 32%

21 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Willem II 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+35	33
2	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+26	28
3	Feyenoord	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Heracles	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	AZ Alkmaar	11	4	3	4	+3	15
7	VVV Venlo	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Heerenveen	11	3	5	3	-1	14
9	For Sittard	11	3	4	4	+0	13
10	Vitesse	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	Excelsior	11	3	3	5	-7	12
12	Den Haag	11	3	3	5	-10	12
13	Zwolle	11	3	2	6	-8	11
14	Willem II	11	2	4	5	-4	10
15	De Graafschap	11	3	1	7	-11	10
16	FC Emmen	11	2	4	5	-14	10
17	NAC Breda	11	2	2	7	-12	8
18	Groningen	10	2	1	7	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+23	18
2	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
3	Heracles	5	5	0	0	+11	15
4	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
5	Utrecht	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
7	De Graafschap	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	For Sittard	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Excelsior	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	NAC Breda	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Den Haag	5	2	1	2	-5	7
14	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+3	5
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	FC Emmen	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Groningen	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
5	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
6	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-10	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Groningen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-2	5
11	Feyenoord	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-7	5
15	Heracles	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-10	1
18	NAC Breda	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.