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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Willem II

T T T T S

1–2

Full-time

Heerenveen

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 17. · Heerenveen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	0	1	+8	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	+7	10
6	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+6	10
7	Zwolle	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Utrecht	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Groningen	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Twente	5	1	0	4	-1	3
17	Willem II	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Roda	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zwolle	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Groningen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	NAC Breda	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Twente	2	1	0	1	+3	3
14	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	VVV Venlo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-5	3
12	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Twente	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Roda	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.