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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Genk
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 11/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
64%
35%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
73%
59%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
59%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
2,5
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 4. · Kortrijk 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 17 8 6 3 +10 30
2 Charleroi 17 8 2 7 +4 26
3 Antwerp 11 8 1 2 +8 25
4 Genk 11 7 3 1 +16 24
5 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +15 23
6 Gent 11 7 2 2 +12 23
7 Anderlecht 11 7 2 2 +10 23
8 Kortrijk 17 6 4 7 -4 22
9 Cercle Brugge 17 6 4 7 -9 22
10 Standard 11 5 4 2 +8 19
11 Oostende 17 5 4 8 -13 19
12 Eupen 17 6 1 10 -14 19
13 Waregem 17 4 4 9 -10 16
14 Beveren 18 2 8 8 -7 14
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 4 10 -11 13
16 Lokeren 17 2 5 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Kortrijk
Ruslan Malinovskyi 🟨
12′
1–0 Mbwana Samatta
Leandro Trossard
20′
29′
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
45′
Julien De Sart 1–1
Elohim Rolland
Half-time 1–1
Zinho Gano 🔁
↦ Dieumerci Ndongala
53′
Bryan Heynen 🔁
↦ Sander Berge
63′
66′
🔁 Jovan Stojanovic
↦ Felipe Avenatti
69′
🟨 Andriy Batsula
74′
🔁 Teddy Chevalier
↦ Imoh Ezekiel
Bojan Nastić 🔁
↦ Jere Uronen
77′
81′
🟨 Bennard Kumordzi
89′
🟨 Jovan Stojanovic
89′
🔁 Brendan Hines-Ike
↦ Andriy Batsula
Alejandro Pozuelo 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Thomas Kaminski
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
45 Joseph Aidoo D
21 Jere Uronen D
25 Sander Berge M
24 Alejandro Pozuelo M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
77 Dieumerci Ndongala F
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (10)
30 Nordin Jackers
4 Dries Wouters
3 Bojan Nastić
23 Rubin Seigers
11 Joseph Paintsil
15 Ibrahima Seck
28 Bryan Heynen
9 Marcus Ingvartsen
93 Zinho Gano
8 Edon Zhegrova

Coach: P. Clement

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 Thomas Kaminski G
5 Larry Azouni M
2 Bennard Kumordzi M
4 Gary Kagelmacher D
29 Andriy Batsula D
14 Hannes Van Der Bruggen M
26 Elohim Rolland M
39 Imoh Ezekiel M
23 Julien De Sart M
30 Kristof D'Haene F
20 Felipe Avenatti F
Bench (9)
1 Sebastien Bruzzese
72 Petar Golubović
13 Brendan Hines-Ike
8 Abdul Ajagun
21 Charis Charisis
19 Tyron Ivanof
11 Jovan Stojanovic
9 Teddy Chevalier
16 Maxime De Man

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.