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Premier League
Referee: Paul Tierney
Arsenal
U U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Huddersfield
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
60%
13%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
67%
40%
Both score Ø 64%
80%
47%
Average goals
3,6
2,4
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 20
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 5. · Huddersfield 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 +28 42
2 Man City 15 13 2 0 +38 41
3 Tottenham 15 11 0 4 +12 33
4 Chelsea 15 9 4 2 +18 31
5 Arsenal 15 9 4 2 +14 31
6 Everton 15 6 5 4 +4 23
7 Bournemouth 16 7 2 7 -1 23
8 Man United 15 6 5 4 -1 23
9 Leicester 15 6 4 5 +3 22
10 Brighton 15 6 3 6 -2 21
11 Watford 15 6 2 7 -3 20
12 Wolves 15 5 4 6 -3 19
13 West Ham 15 5 3 7 -3 18
14 Newcastle 15 3 4 8 -8 13
15 Crystal Palace 15 3 3 9 -9 12
16 Cardiff 15 3 2 10 -16 11
17 Huddersfield 15 2 4 9 -16 10
18 Southampton 15 1 6 8 -16 9
19 Burnley 15 2 3 10 -18 9
20 Fulham 15 2 3 10 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal Huddersfield
Granit Xhaka 🟨
24′
35′
🟨 Alex Pritchard
Stephan Lichtsteiner 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Danny Williams
39′
🟨 Tommy Smith
Sokratis 🟨
40′
Shkodran Mustafi 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
H. Mkhitaryan 🔁
↦ A. Lacazette
46′
A. Iwobi 🔁
↦ S. Lichtsteiner
46′
52′
🔁 J. Bacuna
↦ J. Hogg
60′
🔁 F. Hadergjonaj
↦ T. Smith
Nacho Monreal 🔁
↦ S. Mustafi
66′
70′
🔁 E. Durm
↦ D. Williams
Mattéo Guendouzi 🟨
80′
1–0 L. Torreira
P. Aubameyang
83′
85′
🟨 Juninho Bacuna
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

3-1-4-2
19 B. Leno G
12 S. Lichtsteiner D
5 S. Papastathopoulos D
20 S. Mustafi D
31 S. Kolašinac M
2 Bellerín M
34 G. Xhaka M
11 L. Torreira M
29 M. Guendouzi M
14 P. Aubameyang F
9 A. Lacazette F
Bench (7)
7 H. Mkhitaryan
17 A. Iwobi
18 Nacho Monreal
1 P. Čech
4 Mohamed Elneny
6 L. Koscielny
49 E. Nketiah

Coach: Unai Emery

Huddersfield

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lössl G
25 M. Jørgensen D
15 C. Löwe M
26 C. Schindler D
5 T. Kongolo D
2 T. Smith D
19 D. Williams M
6 J. Hogg M
10 A. Mooy M
21 A. Pritchard M
20 L. Depoitre F
Bench (7)
7 J. Bacuna
33 F. Hadergjonaj
37 E. Durm
9 E. Kachunga
12 B. Hamer
14 Ramadan Sobhi
18 I. Mbenza

Coach: D. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.