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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Zwolle
U T S U S
1–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 63%
53%
73%
Points per game
1,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
40%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
5 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 4. · AZ Alkmaar 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 13 0 2 +24 39
2 AZ Alkmaar 15 11 1 3 +14 34
3 Ajax 15 10 2 3 +32 32
4 Zwolle 15 8 5 2 +8 29
5 Feyenoord 14 7 4 3 +10 25
6 Utrecht 12 6 2 4 -2 20
7 Den Haag 14 6 2 6 -3 20
8 Heerenveen 14 5 4 5 -2 19
9 Vitesse 12 5 3 4 +7 18
10 Heracles 15 5 3 7 -10 18
11 Excelsior 15 5 2 8 -6 17
12 Groningen 15 4 4 7 -2 16
13 VVV Venlo 15 3 7 5 -6 16
14 Willem II 15 4 3 8 -10 15
15 Twente 16 4 1 11 -9 13
16 NAC Breda 16 3 4 9 -16 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 5 7 -12 11
18 Roda 15 3 2 10 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar
Dirk Marcellis 🟨
18′
1–0 T. Ondaan
32′
34′
A. Jahanbakhsh 1–1
T. Koopmeiners
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Guus Til
63′
🔁 M. Seuntjens
↦ J. van Overeem
76′
🟨 Stijn Wuytens
83′
🟨 Fredrik Midtsjø
86′
🟨 Pantelis Hatzidiakos
W. Marinus 🔁
↦ E. Bakker
86′
Mustafa Saymak 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Mats Seuntjens
P. Parzyszek 🔁
↦ T. Ondaan
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 D. Boer G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
23 E. Bakker M
6 M. Saymak M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
11 T. Ondaan F
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (8)
8 W. Marinus
9 P. Parzyszek
3 N. Freire
10 S. Nijland
14 E. Israelsson
16 M. van der Hart
29 S. van Looy
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. van 't Schip

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
12 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 T. Ouwejan D
6 F. Midtsjø M
8 J. van Overeem M
14 T. Koopmeiners M
15 G. Til M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (10)
20 M. Seuntjens
3 R. van Eijden
16 G. Coutinho
17 J. Helmer
18 I. Bel Hassani
19 D. dos Santos
23 R. van Rhijn
26 O. Wijndal
27 F. Friday
28 L. Garcia

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.