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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

AZ Alkmaar

S S U T T

5–1

Full-time

Zwolle

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 30/28 matches

Win Ø 47%

47%

46%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

67%

64%

Both score Ø 61%

60%

61%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

38 Shots 9

18 Shots on target 3

12 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 12

11 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · Zwolle 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	30	23	5	2	+54	74
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	22	6	2	+45	72
3	Feyenoord	30	17	4	9	+20	55
4	AZ Alkmaar	30	14	5	11	+7	47
5	Vitesse	31	12	9	10	+21	45
6	Heracles	28	13	6	9	+0	45
7	Zwolle	28	13	5	10	+8	44
8	Nijmegen	30	12	7	11	-2	43
9	Groningen	29	11	7	11	-9	40
10	Heerenveen	30	11	7	12	-12	40
11	Utrecht	26	11	6	9	+7	39
12	Twente	31	11	6	14	-13	39
13	Den Haag	30	9	11	10	-2	38
14	Roda	30	7	10	13	-17	31
15	Willem II	30	5	10	15	-16	25
16	Excelsior	30	6	7	17	-26	25
17	De Graafschap	31	4	7	20	-26	19
18	Cambuur	30	3	8	19	-39	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+19	36
3	Feyenoord	15	10	2	3	+18	32
4	Nijmegen	15	10	2	3	+8	32
5	Zwolle	14	9	2	3	+9	29
6	Groningen	15	8	3	4	+4	27
7	AZ Alkmaar	15	8	2	5	+7	26
8	Twente	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+4	26
10	Vitesse	16	7	4	5	+14	25
11	Utrecht	13	7	4	2	+7	25
12	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Den Haag	15	4	7	4	-1	19
14	Willem II	15	3	6	6	-4	15
15	Roda	15	3	6	6	-6	15
16	Excelsior	15	4	3	8	-10	15
17	De Graafschap	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+26	36
2	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+21	36
3	Feyenoord	15	7	2	6	+2	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	3	6	+0	21
5	Vitesse	15	5	5	5	+7	20
6	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-1	19
7	Heracles	15	5	4	6	-4	19
8	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-10	18
9	Roda	15	4	4	7	-11	16
10	Zwolle	14	4	3	7	-1	15
11	Utrecht	13	4	2	7	+0	14
12	Groningen	14	3	4	7	-13	13
13	Twente	16	3	4	9	-17	13
14	Nijmegen	15	2	5	8	-10	11
15	Willem II	15	2	4	9	-12	10
16	Excelsior	15	2	4	9	-16	10
17	Cambuur	15	1	4	10	-21	7
18	De Graafschap	15	1	2	12	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.