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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

NAC Breda

U T T S T

0–1

Full-time

VVV Venlo

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 24%

21%

26%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

58%

37%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

53%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 16. · VVV Venlo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	20	17	1	2	+31	52
2	Ajax	19	14	2	3	+39	44
3	AZ Alkmaar	19	12	3	4	+15	39
4	Zwolle	20	10	6	4	+5	36
5	Feyenoord	19	9	6	4	+19	33
6	Vitesse	18	7	6	5	+8	27
7	Den Haag	18	8	3	7	-1	27
8	Heerenveen	19	7	6	6	-2	27
9	Utrecht	17	7	5	5	-3	26
10	Excelsior	19	7	3	9	-5	24
11	VVV Venlo	19	5	8	6	-4	23
12	Heracles	20	6	5	9	-12	23
13	Groningen	20	5	7	8	+0	22
14	Willem II	19	4	5	10	-13	17
15	Twente	20	4	4	12	-11	16
16	NAC Breda	19	4	4	11	-16	16
17	Roda	19	3	3	13	-23	12
18	Sparta Rotterdam	20	2	5	13	-27	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	Ajax	10	8	0	2	+20	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	0	3	+9	21
4	Zwolle	10	6	2	2	+7	20
5	Heracles	10	6	2	2	+5	20
6	Groningen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
7	Feyenoord	9	4	3	2	+6	15
8	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Utrecht	8	3	4	1	+0	13
10	Twente	10	3	2	5	-2	11
11	Heerenveen	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	NAC Breda	9	3	1	5	-10	10
13	Willem II	10	2	3	5	-2	9
14	Roda	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	VVV Venlo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Excelsior	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	2	6	-12	8
18	Vitesse	7	1	4	2	+0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+14	25
2	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+19	20
3	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Feyenoord	10	5	3	2	+13	18
5	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	Heerenveen	10	4	4	2	+4	16
7	Excelsior	9	5	1	3	+1	16
8	Zwolle	10	4	4	2	-2	16
9	VVV Venlo	9	3	5	1	+1	14
10	Utrecht	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Den Haag	7	4	0	3	-2	12
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-11	8
13	NAC Breda	10	1	3	6	-6	6
14	Groningen	9	1	2	6	-5	5
15	Twente	10	1	2	7	-9	5
16	Sparta Rotterdam	10	0	3	7	-15	3
17	Heracles	10	0	3	7	-17	3
18	Roda	10	1	0	9	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.