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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Sparta Rotterdam

S T T S T

2–1

Full-time

NAC Breda

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam NAC Breda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 23%

19%

26%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

58%

55%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

58%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

2,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

17 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

20 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 17. · NAC Breda 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	32	26	3	3	+48	81
2	Ajax	31	22	4	5	+49	70
3	AZ Alkmaar	32	21	5	6	+31	68
4	Feyenoord	31	17	6	8	+30	57
5	Heerenveen	30	12	9	9	+1	45
6	Zwolle	32	12	8	12	-5	44
7	Vitesse	28	11	8	9	+14	41
8	Utrecht	27	11	8	8	-2	41
9	Den Haag	30	11	7	12	-8	40
10	Excelsior	32	11	7	14	-10	40
11	Heracles	32	10	8	14	-17	38
12	VVV Venlo	31	7	13	11	-12	34
13	Groningen	31	7	12	12	-4	33
14	Willem II	31	9	6	16	-10	33
15	NAC Breda	31	8	6	17	-18	30
16	Roda	32	7	6	19	-29	27
17	Sparta Rotterdam	31	6	6	19	-37	24
18	Twente	32	5	8	19	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	15	1	0	+35	46
2	Ajax	15	12	1	2	+27	37
3	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	2	4	+11	32
5	Heracles	16	9	3	4	+4	30
6	Zwolle	16	8	4	4	+8	28
7	Groningen	16	6	7	3	+7	25
8	Utrecht	13	6	6	1	+4	24
9	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-2	22
10	Willem II	15	6	3	6	+6	21
11	Den Haag	15	6	3	6	-2	21
12	Vitesse	14	5	5	4	+8	20
13	NAC Breda	16	6	1	9	-8	19
14	Twente	16	4	5	7	-6	17
15	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	2	8	-13	17
16	Roda	16	4	4	8	-12	16
17	VVV Venlo	16	3	6	7	-7	15
18	Excelsior	16	3	5	8	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	11	2	3	+13	35
3	Ajax	16	10	3	3	+22	33
4	Excelsior	16	8	2	6	-3	26
5	Feyenoord	15	7	3	5	+12	24
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
7	Vitesse	14	6	3	5	+6	21
8	VVV Venlo	15	4	7	4	-5	19
9	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-6	19
10	Utrecht	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Zwolle	16	4	4	8	-13	16
12	Willem II	16	3	3	10	-16	12
13	NAC Breda	15	2	5	8	-10	11
14	Roda	16	3	2	11	-17	11
15	Groningen	15	1	5	9	-11	8
16	Heracles	16	1	5	10	-21	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	1	4	11	-24	7
18	Twente	16	1	3	12	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.