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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Portimonense

T T S T T

2–2

Full-time

Santa Clara

T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

0,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

26 Shots 9

11 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 23

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Portimonense 18. · Santa Clara 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Feirense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Chaves	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Guimaraes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.