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Ligue 1
Referee: J Miguelgorry
Paris SG
U T U S S
3–1
Full-time
Angers
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
6 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 2
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Angers 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Nimes 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Lyon 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Dijon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Reims 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Lille 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 St Etienne 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Strasbourg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Marseille 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Rennes 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Nice 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Caen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Angers 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Guingamp 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Amiens 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Bordeaux 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Angers
1–0 E. Cavani
12′
Thilo Kehrer 🟨
21′
21′
T. Mangani 1–1
Half-time 1–1
S. Nsoki 🔁
↦ T. Kehrer
46′
2–1 K. Mbappé
Á. Di María
51′
61′
🔁 W. Kanga
↦ A. Fulgini
Stanley N'Soki 🟨
63′
3–1 Neymar
K. Mbappé
66′
C. Nkunku 🔁
↦ E. Cavani
73′
76′
🔁 F. El Melali
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
82′
🔁 R. Aït Nouri
↦ P. Capelle
J. Draxler 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

3-4-1-2
16 A. Areola G
2 Thiago Silva D
12 T. Meunier D
5 Marquinhos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
4 T. Kehrer D
11 Á. Di María F
25 A. Rabiot M
9 E. Cavani F
10 Neymar F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
36 S. Nsoki
24 C. Nkunku
23 J. Draxler
35 M. Diaby
1 G. Buffon
18 G. Lo Celso
19 L. Diarra

Coach: T. Tuchel

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
17 C. N'Doye M
20 F. Tait M
10 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
Bench (7)
11 W. Kanga
28 F. El Melali
2 R. Aït Nouri
1 M. Michel
7 H. Manzala
24 R. Thomas
25 A. Bamba

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Miguelgorry · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.