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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
2–1
Full-time
Ipswich
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Championship · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 16. · Ipswich 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Bolton 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Brentford 4 2 2 0 +6 8
4 Aston Villa 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Swansea 4 2 2 0 +2 8
6 West Brom 5 2 1 2 +5 7
7 Leeds 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Wigan 4 2 1 1 +3 7
9 Derby 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Blackburn 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 Sheffield United 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 +1 5
14 Millwall 4 1 2 1 +0 5
15 Norwich 4 1 1 2 +0 4
16 Sheffield Weds 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Hull 4 1 1 2 -2 4
18 Preston 4 1 1 2 -2 4
19 Rotherham 4 1 0 3 -6 3
20 Birmingham 4 0 2 2 -2 2
21 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 -3 2
22 Stoke 4 0 2 2 -5 2
23 Reading 4 0 1 3 -3 1
24 QPR 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Ipswich
14′
🟨 Ellis Harrison
1–0 Lucas João
B. Bannan
16′
40′
A. Nsiala 1–1
L. Chambers
Barry Bannan 🟨
43′
Atdhe Nuhiu 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
70′
🟨 Jonas Knudsen
F. Forestieri 🔁
↦ Marco Matias
73′
75′
🟥 Aristote Nsiala
2–1 Lucas João
77′
78′
🔁 F. Downes
↦ A. Edun
S. Fletcher 🔁
↦ Lucas João
79′
85′
🔁 F. Sears
↦ E. Harrison
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-2-3-1
25 C. Dawson G
15 T. Lees D
20 A. Reach M
12 J. Thorniley D
42 M. Penney D
10 B. Bannan M
2 L. Palmer D
8 J. Pelupessy M
17 A. Nuhiu F
19 Marco Matias F
18 Lucas João F
Bench (7)
45 F. Forestieri
9 S. Fletcher
6 M. Fox
23 S. Hutchinson
24 A. Baker
28 J. Wildsmith
31 C. Kirby

Coach: J. Luhukay

Ipswich

4-1-4-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 L. Chambers D
22 A. Nsiala D
3 J. Knudsen D
2 J. Donacien D
6 T. Chalobah M
25 A. Edun M
11 J. Nolan M
7 G. Edwards M
10 E. Harrison F
9 K. Jackson F
Bench (7)
21 F. Downes
20 F. Sears
1 D. Gerken
12 J. Spence
18 G. Ward
19 J. Roberts
30 M. Kenlock

Coach: P. Hurst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.