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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo

Porto

S S S S S

2–3

Full-time

Guimaraes

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

4,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%

19 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Porto 3. · Guimaraes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Feirense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Chaves	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Santa Clara	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Guimaraes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.