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Bundesliga
Referee: Harm Osmers
Hertha
T U U S T
2–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%
10 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 11. · Bayern Munich 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 7 6 1 0 +19 19
2 Hoffenheim 7 4 2 1 +5 14
3 Bayern Munich 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Hannover 7 3 3 1 +3 12
5 Augsburg 7 3 2 2 +3 11
6 M'gladbach 7 3 2 2 -2 11
7 RB Leipzig 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Schalke 04 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Leverkusen 7 2 2 3 +2 8
11 Hertha 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Wolfsburg 7 1 4 2 -3 7
13 Mainz 7 2 1 4 -4 7
14 Stuttgart 7 2 1 4 -5 7
15 Freiburg 7 1 4 2 -6 7
16 Hamburg 7 2 1 4 -7 7
17 Werder Bremen 7 0 4 3 -4 4
18 FC Koln 6 0 1 5 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Bayern Munich
10′
M. Hummels 0–1
J. Boateng
Half-time 0–2
49′
R. Lewandowski 0–2
C. Tolisso
1–2 O. Duda
G. Haraguchi
51′
52′
🟨 Corentin Tolisso
2–2 S. Kalou
K. Rekik
56′
59′
🔁 Thiago Alcântara
↦ A. Robben
62′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ F. Ribéry
72′
🟨 Joshua Kimmich
V. Lazaro 🔁
↦ O. Duda
75′
79′
🔁 N. Süle
↦ J. Boateng
F. Lustenberger 🔁
↦ V. Darida
80′
A. Esswein 🔁
↦ G. Haraguchi
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
8 S. Kalou M
3 P. Skjelbred M
24 G. Haraguchi M
11 M. Leckie M
6 V. Darida M
23 M. Weiser D
10 O. Duda M
Bench (7)
20 V. Lazaro
28 F. Lustenberger
7 A. Esswein
1 T. Kraft
2 P. Pekarík
14 V. Stocker
25 J. Torunarigha

Coach: P. Dárdai

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
26 S. Ulreich G
8 Javi Martínez M
17 J. Boateng D
5 M. Hummels D
27 D. Alaba D
10 A. Robben M
7 F. Ribéry M
24 C. Tolisso M
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (7)
6 Thiago Alcântara
29 K. Coman
4 N. Süle
11 J. Rodríguez
13 Rafinha
19 S. Rudy
22 T. Starke

Coach: W. Sagnol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Harm Osmers · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.