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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Heerenveen

U T S S U

0–2

Full-time

Ajax

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 55%

35%

74%

Points per game

1,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

58%

61%

Both score Ø 54%

65%

42%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,4

2,4

Conceded

1,8

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

9 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

2 Offside 6

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 11. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	32	24	6	2	+50	78
2	Ajax	31	23	6	2	+54	75
3	Feyenoord	32	17	6	9	+20	57
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	15	5	11	+11	50
5	Zwolle	30	14	5	11	+6	47
6	Heracles	29	13	7	9	+0	46
7	Nijmegen	32	13	7	12	-3	46
8	Vitesse	32	12	9	11	+19	45
9	Groningen	31	12	8	11	-8	44
10	Den Haag	31	10	11	10	+0	41
11	Heerenveen	31	11	8	12	-12	41
12	Utrecht	28	11	7	10	+5	40
13	Twente	31	11	6	14	-13	39
14	Roda	32	7	10	15	-21	31
15	Excelsior	31	6	8	17	-26	26
16	Willem II	31	5	10	16	-18	25
17	De Graafschap	32	5	7	20	-24	22
18	Cambuur	31	3	8	20	-40	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	3	1	+33	39
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	3	1	+21	39
3	Nijmegen	16	11	2	3	+9	35
4	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
5	Zwolle	15	10	2	3	+11	32
6	Groningen	16	9	3	4	+5	30
7	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	2	5	+11	29
8	Heracles	14	8	3	3	+4	27
9	Twente	15	8	2	5	+4	26
10	Vitesse	16	7	4	5	+14	25
11	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+5	25
12	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Den Haag	15	4	7	4	-1	19
14	Excelsior	16	4	4	8	-10	16
15	Willem II	16	3	6	7	-6	15
16	Roda	16	3	6	7	-9	15
17	De Graafschap	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	3	1	+29	39
2	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+21	36
3	Feyenoord	16	7	3	6	+2	24
4	Den Haag	16	6	4	6	+1	22
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	3	6	+0	21
6	Vitesse	16	5	5	6	+5	20
7	Heracles	15	5	4	6	-4	19
8	Heerenveen	16	5	4	7	-10	19
9	Roda	16	4	4	8	-12	16
10	Utrecht	14	4	3	7	+0	15
11	Zwolle	15	4	3	8	-5	15
12	Groningen	15	3	5	7	-13	14
13	Twente	16	3	4	9	-17	13
14	Nijmegen	16	2	5	9	-12	11
15	Willem II	15	2	4	9	-12	10
16	Excelsior	15	2	4	9	-16	10
17	De Graafschap	16	2	2	12	-18	8
18	Cambuur	16	1	4	11	-22	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.