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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Bastien

Nice

S T S S U

2–4

Full-time

Marseille

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 17

10 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 9

9 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nice 10. · Marseille 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+22	22
2	Monaco	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Nantes	8	5	1	2	+1	16
4	Caen	8	5	0	3	+3	15
5	Bordeaux	8	4	3	1	+2	15
6	St Etienne	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Lyon	8	3	4	1	+4	13
8	Marseille	7	4	1	2	+1	13
9	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Nice	7	3	1	3	+2	10
11	Guingamp	8	3	1	4	-3	10
12	Angers	8	1	6	1	+1	9
13	Montpellier	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Toulouse	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Rennes	8	1	3	4	-2	6
16	Amiens	7	2	0	5	-6	6
17	Dijon	8	1	3	4	-7	6
18	Lille	7	1	2	4	-7	5
19	Strasbourg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Metz	8	1	0	7	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Bordeaux	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Caen	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	St Etienne	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Nice	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Toulouse	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Dijon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Lille	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	+1	3
17	Angers	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-1	3
19	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Metz	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Nantes	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Troyes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Caen	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Marseille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Bordeaux	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Rennes	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Lyon	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Guingamp	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Metz	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Nice	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Amiens	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Toulouse	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Strasbourg	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Lille	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.