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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Waregem
S T U S S
1–3
Full-time
Lokeren
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
63%
25%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

11 Corners 1
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 2. · Lokeren 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 5 2 2 +2 17
2 Waregem 8 5 1 2 +11 16
3 St Truiden 9 5 1 3 +0 16
4 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
5 Antwerp 9 4 3 2 +1 15
6 Charleroi 5 4 1 0 +6 13
7 Beveren 9 3 3 3 +7 12
8 Anderlecht 6 3 2 1 +2 11
9 Genk 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Kortrijk 9 2 3 4 -4 9
11 Mechelen 9 1 5 3 -2 8
12 Lokeren 8 2 1 5 -5 7
13 Standard 5 1 2 2 -4 5
14 Oostende 9 1 2 6 -8 5
15 Eupen 9 1 2 6 -15 5
16 Gent 6 1 1 4 -2 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Lokeren
8′
T. De Sutter 0–1
T. Mpati Bibuangu
Half-time 0–2
48′
T. De Sutter 0–2
I. Šaponjić 🔁
↦ I. Doumbia
62′
1–2 P. Olayinka
I. Šaponjić
64′
78′
🔁 L. Enoh
↦ T. De Sutter
80′
🔁 R. Söder
↦ S. Kehli
A. Cordaro 🔁
↦ N. De Pauw
84′
89′
S. De Ridder 1–3
M. Mirić
Alessandro Cordaro 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 A. Monsecour
↦ S. De Ridder
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Waregem

24 N. Leali G
6 T. Derijck D
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
4 M. Heylen D
10 O. Kaya M
11 N. De Pauw M
43 S. Coopman M
20 I. Doumbia M
99 P. Olayinka F
7 A. Leya F
Bench (7)
33 I. Šaponjić
29 A. Cordaro
3 M. Baudry
8 G. De Mets
14 S. Walsh
19 F. Jensen
25 L. Bostyn

Coach: F. Dury

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
35 T. Mpati Bibuangu D
25 J. Filipović D
7 K. Overmeire M
22 S. De Ridder F
21 M. Mirić F
10 S. Kehli M
20 J. Rassoul M
9 T. De Sutter F
Bench (7)
29 L. Enoh
27 R. Söder
26 A. Monsecour
8 J. Michel
12 O. De Wolf
28 A. Benchaib
31 J. Torres

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.