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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
1–2
Full-time
Roda
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 16. · Roda 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 6 0 1 +15 18
2 Feyenoord 7 5 0 2 +10 15
3 Zwolle 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Heerenveen 7 4 2 1 +1 14
5 Ajax 7 4 1 2 +9 13
6 Vitesse 6 4 1 1 +8 13
7 VVV Venlo 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 AZ Alkmaar 7 4 0 3 -1 12
9 Den Haag 7 3 1 3 -3 10
10 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 -4 9
11 Groningen 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Heracles 7 2 2 3 -2 8
13 Excelsior 7 2 1 4 -4 7
14 NAC Breda 7 2 1 4 -5 7
15 Twente 7 2 0 5 -1 6
16 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Willem II 7 1 0 6 -12 3
18 Roda 6 0 0 6 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Roda
Ryan Sanusi 🟨
13′
17′
🟨 Mikhael Rosheuvel
29′
W. Ndenge 0–1
A. Auassar
35′
D. Schahin 0–2
M. Paulissen
40′
🔁 G. van Velzen
↦ M. Paulissen
Half-time 0–2
D. Duarte 🔁
↦ J. Chabot
46′
S. Spierings 🔁
↦ T. Verhaar
46′
64′
🔁 M. Engels
↦ M. Rosheuvel
L. Brogno 🔁
↦ R. Ache
66′
1–2 R. Mühren
D. Duarte
78′
80′
🟨 Dani Schahin
83′
🔁 N. Rutjes
↦ M. El Makrini
90′
🟨 Nathan Rutjes
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 S. Fischer D
2 F. Holst D
3 N. Marfelt D
6 J. Chabot D
8 R. Sanusi M
4 K. Dougall M
10 R. Mühren M
11 C. Goodwin M
7 T. Verhaar F
9 R. Ache F
Bench (11)
13 D. Duarte
18 S. Spierings
16 L. Brogno
19 D. Volaš
14 G. Dobson
20 A. Craninx
12 F. Bambock
30 L. Nienhuis
17 I. Alhaft
21 S. Floranus
15 M. Breuer

Coach: A. Pastoor

Roda

4-4-1-1
1 H. Jurjus G
4 C. Kum D
2 H. Dijkhuizen D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
8 A. Auassar D
6 M. El Makrini M
19 M. Paulissen M
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
9 D. Schahin F
7 M. Rosheuvel M
Bench (10)
11 G. van Velzen
14 M. Engels
23 N. Rutjes
3 F. Ananou
5 A. van Peppen
16 F. Kurto
18 J. Vancamp
20 D. Werker
21 C. Djim
30 B. Derksen

Coach: R. Molenaar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.