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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vasco Santos

Belenenses

T U T S S

1–0

Full-time

Guimaraes

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 11

2 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Belenenses 8. · Guimaraes 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Sp Lisbon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Sp Braga	8	5	0	3	+6	15
5	Maritimo	7	5	0	2	+3	15
6	Rio Ave	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Boavista	8	3	1	4	-1	10
8	Belenenses	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Guimaraes	7	3	1	3	-6	10
10	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Chaves	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Feirense	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Vitoria Setubal	8	1	4	3	-1	7
14	Portimonense	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Tondela	8	1	3	4	-2	6
16	Aves	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Moreirense	8	1	3	4	-8	6
18	Estoril	8	2	0	6	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Maritimo	4	4	0	0	+4	12
4	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Rio Ave	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+7	9
7	Boavista	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Guimaraes	4	3	0	1	-2	9
9	Pacos Ferreira	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Belenenses	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Portimonense	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Vitoria Setubal	4	1	3	0	+2	6
13	Chaves	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Feirense	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Aves	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Tondela	4	0	1	3	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Porto	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Sp Braga	4	2	0	2	-1	6
4	Tondela	4	1	2	1	+1	5
5	Feirense	4	1	1	2	+0	4
6	Benfica	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Chaves	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	-5	4
10	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Belenenses	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	Estoril	5	1	0	4	-11	3
13	Aves	4	0	2	2	-2	2
14	Boavista	4	0	1	3	-3	1
15	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Guimaraes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Portimonense	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.