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Serie A
Referee: Antonio Damato
Atalanta
T S U S U
2–2
Full-time
Juventus
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,5
This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 11. · Juventus 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 7 7 0 0 +20 21
2 Inter 7 6 1 0 +11 19
3 Juventus 6 6 0 0 +15 18
4 Lazio 7 5 1 1 +10 16
5 Roma 6 5 0 1 +10 15
6 Torino 7 3 3 1 +1 12
7 Milan 7 4 0 3 +0 12
8 Chievo 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Sampdoria 6 3 2 1 +0 11
10 Bologna 7 3 2 2 -1 11
11 Atalanta 6 2 2 2 +2 8
12 Fiorentina 7 2 1 4 +0 7
13 Udinese 7 2 0 5 -1 6
14 Cagliari 7 2 0 5 -7 6
15 Spal 7 1 2 4 -6 5
16 Crotone 7 1 2 4 -8 5
17 Sassuolo 7 1 1 5 -11 4
18 Verona 7 0 3 4 -13 3
19 Genoa 7 0 2 5 -6 2
20 Benevento 7 0 0 7 -16 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Juventus
21′
F. Bernardeschi 0–1
24′
G. Higuaín 0–2
F. Bernardeschi
1–2 M. Caldara
31′
J. Iličić 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
32′
Half-time 1–2
A. Petagna 🔁
↦ J. Kurtič
56′
58′
🟨 Stephan Lichtsteiner
Alejandro Gómez 🟨
64′
66′
🔁 A. Barzagli
↦ S. Lichtsteiner
2–2 B. Cristante
A. Gómez
67′
69′
🔁 J. Cuadrado
↦ F. Bernardeschi
78′
🔁 Douglas Costa
↦ M. Mandžukić
José Luis Palomino 🟨
80′
Andrea Petagna 🟨
82′
M. de Roon 🔁
↦ B. Cristante
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 E. Berisha G
5 A. Masiello D
6 J. Palomino D
37 L. Spinazzola M
33 H. Hateboer M
13 M. Caldara D
10 A. Gómez F
11 R. Freuler M
27 J. Kurtič M
4 B. Cristante M
9 A. Cornelius F
Bench (12)
72 J. Iličić
29 A. Petagna
15 M. de Roon
7 R. Orsolini
8 R. Gosens
20 L. Vido
21 T. Castagne
28 G. Mancini
31 F. Rossi
32 N. Haas
91 P. Gollini
95 A. Bastoni

Coach: G. Gasperini

Juventus

4-2-3-1
1 G. Buffon
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
4 M. Benatia D
3 G. Chiellini D
14 B. Matuidi M
22 K. Asamoah D
30 R. Bentancur M
9 G. Higuaín F
17 M. Mandžukić F
10 P. Dybala F
33 F. Bernardeschi M
Bench (9)
15 A. Barzagli
7 J. Cuadrado
11 Douglas Costa
12 Alex Sandro
16 C. Pinsoglio
23 W. Szczęsny
24 D. Rugani
27 S. Sturaro
38 F. Caligara

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Damato · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.