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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Den Haag
S T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Ajax
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 9
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 15. · Ajax 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Heerenveen 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Zwolle 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Vitesse 4 3 0 1 +7 9
6 Ajax 4 3 0 1 +6 9
7 Utrecht 4 3 0 1 +6 9
8 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 0 1 +4 9
9 VVV Venlo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Heracles 5 1 2 2 -2 5
11 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -2 5
12 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 NAC Breda 5 1 1 3 -6 4
15 Den Haag 4 1 0 3 -5 3
16 Willem II 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 Twente 4 0 0 4 -5 0
18 Roda 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Ajax
2′
🟨 Justin Kluivert
28′
J. Veltman 0–1
H. Ziyech
Lex Immers 🟨
34′
Tom Beugelsdijk 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
E. Falkenburg 🔁
↦ L. Immers
46′
R. Kishna 🔁
↦ E. Hooi
56′
57′
🟨 Joël Veltman
60′
🟨 Donny van de Beek
67′
🔁 David Neres
↦ J. Kluivert
1–1 B. Johnsen
S. Becker
71′
75′
🔁 L. Schöne
↦ F. de Jong
M. Lorenzen 🔁
↦ R. Kishna
77′
85′
🔁 K. Dolberg
↦ M. Dijks
Sheraldo Becker 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Lasse Schöne
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
2 T. Ebuehi D
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
77 E. Hooi F
7 S. Becker F
9 B. Johnsen F
Bench (12)
30 E. Falkenburg
11 R. Kishna
33 M. Lorenzen
1 I. Groothuizen
3 T. Meißner
6 D. Gorter
14 D. Ladan
15 B. Kuipers
16 H. Asmelash
18 T. Coremans
21 E. Duplan
27 T. David

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Ajax

4-3-3
1 A. Onana G
26 N. Viergever D
3 J. Veltman D
35 M. Dijks D
4 M. de Ligt D
10 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
21 F. de Jong M
9 K. Huntelaar F
11 A. Younes F
45 J. Kluivert F
Bench (8)
7 David Neres
20 L. Schöne
25 K. Dolberg
5 M. Wöber
17 V. Černý
22 B. van Leer
23 S. de Jong
28 L. Orejuela

Coach: M. Keizer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.