Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Asane
Elverum
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | +35 | 59 |
| 2 |
Start
|
25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | +18 | 46 |
| 3 |
Sandnes ULF
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | +9 | 44 |
| 4 |
Ranheim
|
24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | +11 | 43 |
| 5 |
Ull/Kisa
|
24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | +0 | 36 |
| 6 |
Levanger
|
25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | +4 | 35 |
| 7 |
Mjondalen
|
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | +7 | 34 |
| 8 |
Floro
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 33 |
| 9 |
Jerv
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 |
Strommen
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 11 |
Kongsvinger
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | +0 | 27 |
| 12 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 |
Fredrikstad
|
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | -13 | 23 |
| 15 |
Elverum
|
25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 |
Arendal
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -27 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: M. Mjelde
Coach: K. Knappen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mjondalen
Asane
Strommen
Asane
Asane
Jerv
Fredrikstad
Asane
Asane
Ull/Kisa
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.