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Championship
Referee: Simon Hooper
2–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
2,1
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
9 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 9. · Sheffield United 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 9 6 2 1 +12 20
2 Wolves 9 6 2 1 +6 20
3 Cardiff 9 6 2 1 +6 20
4 Preston 9 4 4 1 +6 16
5 Ipswich 8 5 0 3 +3 15
6 Sheffield United 8 5 0 3 +2 15
7 Bristol City 9 3 5 1 +5 14
8 Middlesbrough 8 4 2 2 +5 14
9 Sheffield Weds 8 3 4 1 +3 13
10 Aston Villa 8 3 3 2 +2 12
11 QPR 9 3 3 3 +0 12
12 Nott'm Forest 9 4 0 5 -3 12
13 Norwich 9 3 3 3 -4 12
14 Fulham 9 2 5 2 +1 11
15 Derby 8 3 2 3 +0 11
16 Millwall 9 2 4 3 +2 10
17 Hull 9 2 3 4 -1 9
18 Reading 8 2 3 3 -1 9
19 Burton Albion 9 2 3 4 -9 9
20 Brentford 9 1 4 4 -2 7
21 Barnsley 8 2 1 5 -4 7
22 Sunderland 9 1 3 5 -6 6
23 Birmingham 9 1 2 6 -8 5
24 Bolton 9 0 2 7 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Sheffield United
3′
J. Fleck 0–1
D. Brooks
Barry Bannan 🟨
12′
15′
L. Clarke 0–2
E. Stevens
Half-time 0–2
Lucas João 🔁
↦ D. Jones
46′
1–2 G. Hooper
R. Wallace
47′
63′
🔁 M. Duffy
↦ J. Wright
2–2 Lucas João
A. Reach
65′
67′
M. Duffy 2–3
L. Clarke
J. Rhodes 🔁
↦ S. Fletcher
68′
75′
🟨 Chris Basham
77′
L. Clarke 2–4
J. Butterfield 🔁
↦ R. Wallace
78′
85′
🔁 J. Lundstram
↦ D. Brooks
90′
🟨 John Fleck
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-3-1-2
1 K. Westwood G
2 J. Hunt D
15 T. Lees D
20 A. Reach M
4 J. van Aken D
33 R. Wallace M
3 D. Jones M
5 K. Lee M
10 B. Bannan M
9 S. Fletcher F
14 G. Hooper F
Bench (7)
18 Lucas João
7 J. Rhodes
8 J. Butterfield
16 L. Palmer
17 A. Nuhiu
28 J. Wildsmith
36 D. Pudil

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Sheffield United

3-5-1-1
27 J. Blackman G
6 C. Basham D
3 E. Stevens M
13 J. Wright D
2 G. Baldock M
5 J. O'Connell D
16 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 J. Fleck M
15 P. Coutts M
9 L. Clarke F
36 D. Brooks M
Bench (7)
21 M. Duffy
7 J. Lundstram
1 S. Moore
10 B. Sharp
24 D. Lafferty
32 C. Evans
44 S. Carruthers

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.