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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Tondela

T T S U T

1–2

Full-time

Sp Braga

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

27% Possession 73%

7 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

4 Offside 7

11 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tondela 17. · Sp Braga 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+16	21
2	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+12	19
3	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Maritimo	7	5	0	2	+3	15
5	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Belenenses	7	3	1	3	-2	10
7	Guimaraes	7	3	1	3	-6	10
8	Sp Braga	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	Feirense	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Chaves	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-2	6
13	Pacos Ferreira	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Portimonense	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Estoril	7	2	0	5	-6	6
16	Moreirense	7	1	3	3	-7	6
17	Tondela	6	1	2	3	-1	5
18	Aves	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Maritimo	4	4	0	0	+4	12
4	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Guimaraes	4	3	0	1	-2	9
6	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Belenenses	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Feirense	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Chaves	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Aves	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Tondela	3	1	1	1	+1	4
4	Feirense	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Benfica	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Chaves	4	1	1	2	-2	4
7	Moreirense	4	1	1	2	-4	4
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Sp Braga	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Belenenses	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	Estoril	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Aves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Guimaraes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Boavista	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Portimonense	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.