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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Getafe
U T S T U
4–0
Full-time
Villarreal
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
17 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
6 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 15. · Villarreal 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Ath Madrid 6 4 2 0 +8 14
3 Sevilla 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Real Madrid 6 3 2 1 +5 11
5 Valencia 5 2 3 0 +6 9
6 Levante 5 2 3 0 +4 9
7 Sociedad 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Betis 5 3 0 2 -1 9
9 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Espanol 6 2 2 2 -2 8
11 Villarreal 5 2 1 2 +1 7
12 Leganes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
13 Las Palmas 5 2 0 3 -3 6
14 Eibar 5 2 0 3 -7 6
15 Getafe 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Girona 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Celta 5 1 1 3 -2 4
18 La Coruna 6 1 1 4 -8 4
19 Malaga 6 0 1 5 -10 1
20 Alaves 6 0 0 6 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Villarreal
Mauro Arambarri 🟨
19′
42′
🟨 Cédric Bakambu
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Ángel
Juan Cala
54′
60′
🔁 C. Bacca
↦ C. Bakambu
60′
🔁 R. Soriano
↦ Samu Castillejo
Sergio Mora 🔁
↦ M. Arambarri
63′
2–0 Jorge Molina
64′
65′
🟨 Manu Trigueros
F. Fajr 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
66′
3–0 Bergara
67′
70′
🔁 N. Sansone
↦ Trigueros
74′
🟨 Rodri
Molinero 🔁
↦ Jorge Molina
83′
90′
🟨 Roberto Soriano
4–0 Ángel
F. Fajr
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 Guaita G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
16 Juan Cala D
2 D. Dakonam D
5 Bergara M
18 M. Arambarri M
9 Ángel
19 Jorge Molina F
7 Álvaro Jiménez M
23 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
14 Sergio Mora
21 F. Fajr
15 Molinero
1 E. Martínez
4 Bruno González
12 Portillo
24 J. Montero

Coach: José Bordalás

Villarreal

4-4-2
25 M. Barbosa G
22 A. Rukavina D
2 Mario Gaspar D
3 Álvaro González D
4 Rúben Semedo D
14 Trigueros M
10 Samu Castillejo M
16 Rodri Hernández M
8 Pablo Fornals M
17 C. Bakambu F
15 E. Ünal F
Bench (7)
9 C. Bacca
20 R. Soriano
18 N. Sansone
6 Víctor Ruíz
7 D. Cheryshev
23 D. Bonera
31 Ander Cantero

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.