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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
Groningen
U T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Twente
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
100%
40%
Average goals
3,6
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
6 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 13. · Twente 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Heerenveen 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Feyenoord 6 4 0 2 +6 12
4 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Vitesse 5 3 1 1 +7 10
6 Ajax 5 3 1 1 +6 10
7 Zwolle 5 3 1 1 +2 10
8 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 -4 9
9 VVV Venlo 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Heracles 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Den Haag 6 2 1 3 -4 7
13 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 -5 5
15 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Twente 5 1 0 4 -1 3
17 Willem II 6 1 0 5 -8 3
18 Roda 6 0 0 6 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Twente
16′
🟨 Haris Vučkić
Mike te Wierik 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 O. Idrissi
R. Doan
51′
Django Warmerdam 🟨
59′
68′
🟨 Peet Bijen
Jesper Drost 🔁
↦ R. Doan
72′
72′
🔁 A. Tighadouini
↦ L. Slagveer
T. van Weert 🔁
↦ L. Veldwijk
77′
80′
🔁 M. Kvasina
↦ F. Jensen
80′
🔁 I. Buckley-Ricketts
↦ H. Vučkič
88′
🟨 Oussama Assaidi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Groningen

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
6 E. Reijnen D
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
21 D. Warmerdam D
8 R. Jenssen M
7 J. Bacuna M
25 R. Doan M
9 L. Veldwijk F
10 M. Mahi M
11 O. Idrissi F
Bench (10)
17 Jesper Drost
19 T. van Weert
3 K. Larsen
14 C. Antuna
16 K. Begois
20 Y. van Nieff
23 A. Hrustic
31 J. Hoekstra
39 A. Absalem
68 L. Reis

Coach: E. Faber

Twente

4-3-3
26 J. Brondeel G
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
28 J. van der Lely D
18 M. Liendl M
10 H. Vučkič M
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
27 L. Slagveer F
Bench (10)
34 A. Tighadouini
17 M. Kvasina
22 I. Buckley-Ricketts
4 J. Hooiveld
5 S. Thesker
6 D. Trajkovski
11 A. Laukart
13 N. Hengelman
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.