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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Standard
U U T T U
2–1
Full-time
Lokeren
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 4/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
0%
29%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
25%
57%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

5 Corners 3
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Standard 15. · Lokeren 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 8 5 1 2 +11 16
2 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 5 1 2 +2 16
3 St Truiden 8 5 1 2 +1 16
4 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
5 Antwerp 8 4 3 1 +4 15
6 Anderlecht 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +5 10
8 Beveren 8 2 3 3 +4 9
9 Kortrijk 8 2 3 3 -3 9
10 Genk 5 2 2 1 +2 8
11 Mechelen 8 1 4 3 -2 7
12 Lokeren 7 2 1 4 -4 7
13 Gent 6 1 1 4 -2 4
14 Eupen 8 1 1 6 -15 4
15 Standard 4 0 2 2 -5 2
16 Oostende 8 0 2 6 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Lokeren
21′
🟨 Mijat Maric
37′
🔁 A. Benchaib
↦ S. De Ridder
38′
🟨 Stefano Marzo
Half-time 0–1
46′
A. Benchaib 0–1
R. Marin 🔁
↦ M. Bokadi
46′
47′
🟨 Stefano Marzo
47′
🟥 Stefano Marzo
48′
🟨 Marko Miric
1–1 D. Čop
C. Fai
52′
55′
🔁 T. Mpati Bibuangu
↦ M. Mirić
61′
🟨 Jakov Filipović
Uche Agbo 🟨
65′
Orlando Sá 🔁
↦ D. NDongala
69′
69′
🔁 T. De Sutter
↦ R. Söder
M. Djenepo 🔁
↦ U. Agbo
83′
Carlinhos 🟥
87′
Paul-José M'Poku 🟨
90′
2–1 P. M'Poku
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Standard

8 G. Ochoa G
15 S. Pocognoli D
34 K. Laifis D
5 U. Agbo M
21 C. Fai D
26 C. Luyindama
25 Carlinhos M
20 M. Bokadi D
7 D. Čop F
40 P. M'Poku F
10 D. N'Dongala F
Bench (7)
18 R. Marin
70 Orlando Sá
19 M. Djenepo
29 L. Cavanda
1 J. Gillet
4 D. Lavalée
23 V. Luchkevych

Coach: Sá Pinto

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
2 S. Marzo D
25 J. Filipović D
7 K. Overmeire M
22 S. De Ridder F
21 M. Mirić F
10 S. Kehli M
27 R. Söder F
14 M. Terki F
Bench (7)
28 A. Benchaib
35 T. Mpati Bibuangu
9 T. De Sutter
8 J. Michel
12 O. De Wolf
20 J. Rassoul
26 A. Monsecour

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.