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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Kampka

Leverkusen

T U T S T

3–0

Full-time

Hamburg

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,5

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

100%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

80%

20%

Average goals

3,8

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 15. · Hamburg 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	5	1	0	+18	16
2	Hoffenheim	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Hannover	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Augsburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	RB Leipzig	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Schalke 04	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Hertha	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	M'gladbach	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Stuttgart	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Wolfsburg	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	Mainz	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Hamburg	5	2	0	3	-4	6
15	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Freiburg	6	0	4	2	-7	4
17	Werder Bremen	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	FC Koln	6	0	1	5	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+12	9
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Augsburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Hannover	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Mainz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
13	Freiburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Wolfsburg	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Werder Bremen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Hannover	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	RB Leipzig	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Werder Bremen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	M'gladbach	3	0	2	1	-5	2
13	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Freiburg	3	0	1	2	-7	1
15	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-9	1
16	Leverkusen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
17	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Stuttgart	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.