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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Excelsior

T U S U S

0–3

Full-time

Vitesse

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

30%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

70%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%

15 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 5

4 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 11. · Vitesse 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+19	25
2	Feyenoord	10	8	1	1	+12	25
3	Heracles	11	8	0	3	+10	24
4	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+13	21
5	Vitesse	10	5	2	3	+13	17
6	Zwolle	10	5	2	3	+1	17
7	Groningen	11	5	2	4	-2	17
8	Nijmegen	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Roda	10	3	4	3	-1	13
10	AZ Alkmaar	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-3	12
12	Utrecht	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Twente	10	2	3	5	-8	9
14	Den Haag	10	1	5	4	-6	8
15	Heerenveen	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Willem II	11	1	4	6	-6	7
17	Cambuur	10	0	6	4	-16	6
18	De Graafschap	10	0	2	8	-16	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groningen	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+7	15
4	Vitesse	5	4	0	1	+12	12
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Nijmegen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Zwolle	5	3	1	1	+1	10
8	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
9	Utrecht	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Roda	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Excelsior	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Twente	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Den Haag	5	0	4	1	-1	4
17	Cambuur	6	0	3	3	-13	3
18	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	3	2	1	+8	11
3	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+1	5
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	2	2	-2	5
8	Excelsior	6	1	2	3	-5	5
9	Roda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Nijmegen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Cambuur	4	0	3	1	-3	3
13	Twente	5	0	2	3	-5	2
14	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-6	2
15	Heerenveen	5	0	2	3	-6	2
16	Utrecht	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Groningen	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.