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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Den Haag

S S U S T

4–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 29%

30%

27%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 58%

52%

64%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

44% Possession 56%

13 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Den Haag 14. · Excelsior 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	33	25	4	4	+59	79
2	Ajax	33	24	6	3	+54	78
3	PSV Eindhoven	33	21	10	2	+42	73
4	Utrecht	30	16	7	7	+15	55
5	Vitesse	33	14	6	13	+8	48
6	AZ Alkmaar	30	11	12	7	+6	45
7	Twente	33	12	9	12	+0	45
8	Heracles	33	12	7	14	+0	43
9	Heerenveen	31	12	6	13	+4	42
10	Excelsior	33	9	10	14	-14	37
11	Groningen	31	8	12	11	+0	36
12	Willem II	33	9	9	15	-13	36
13	Zwolle	33	9	8	16	-25	35
14	Den Haag	33	10	5	18	-25	35
15	Roda	33	7	12	14	-22	33
16	Sparta Rotterdam	33	8	7	18	-21	31
17	Nijmegen	33	8	7	18	-29	31
18	Go Ahead Eagles	33	6	5	22	-39	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	16	14	2	0	+43	44
2	Ajax	17	14	2	1	+36	44
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	3	1	+23	39
4	Utrecht	15	9	3	3	+11	30
5	Heerenveen	15	8	4	3	+12	28
6	Twente	16	8	4	4	+8	28
7	Heracles	17	8	3	6	+11	27
8	Vitesse	16	8	2	6	+7	26
9	AZ Alkmaar	15	5	8	2	+7	23
10	Excelsior	17	6	5	6	+2	23
11	Roda	17	6	5	6	-1	23
12	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	4	7	+0	22
13	Nijmegen	17	6	4	7	-5	22
14	Den Haag	16	6	3	7	-2	21
15	Groningen	16	4	8	4	-1	20
16	Willem II	16	5	5	6	-3	20
17	Zwolle	17	5	5	7	-9	20
18	Go Ahead Eagles	16	4	1	11	-13	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	11	2	4	+16	35
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	9	7	1	+19	34
3	Ajax	16	10	4	2	+18	34
4	Utrecht	15	7	4	4	+4	25
5	Vitesse	17	6	4	7	+1	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	4	5	-1	22
7	Twente	17	4	5	8	-8	17
8	Groningen	15	4	4	7	+1	16
9	Willem II	17	4	4	9	-10	16
10	Heracles	16	4	4	8	-11	16
11	Zwolle	16	4	3	9	-16	15
12	Heerenveen	16	4	2	10	-8	14
13	Excelsior	16	3	5	8	-16	14
14	Den Haag	17	4	2	11	-23	14
15	Roda	16	1	7	8	-21	10
16	Go Ahead Eagles	17	2	4	11	-26	10
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	2	3	11	-21	9
18	Nijmegen	16	2	3	11	-24	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.